Salasatun, Nur Rohmah (2021) Analisis Peramalan (Forecasting) Penjualan Pada Toko Stationery Win-win Jaya Menggunakan Metode Trend Moment. S1 Sistem Informasi thesis, STMIK Widya Cipta Dharma.
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Abstract
ABSTRAK Nur Rohmah Salasatun, 2021, Analisis Peramalan (Forecasting) Penjualan Pada Toko Stationery Win-win Jaya Menggunakan Metode Trend Moment. Skripsi jurusan Sistem Informasi, Sekolah Tinggi Manajemen Informatika dan Komputer Widya Cipta Dharma, Pembimbing (I) Bartolomius Harpad, S.Kom., M.Kom, Pembimbing (II) Muhammad Fahmi, S.Kom., M.Kom. Kata Kunci : Peramalan, Forecasting, Trend Moment. Peramalan adalah metode untuk memperkirakan suatu nilai dimasa depan dengan menggunakan data masa lalu. Penelitian ini dilakukan pada Toko Stationery Win-win Jaya. Pada penelitian ini, penulis membahas mengenai analisis peramalan penjualan alat tulis khususnya buku tulis 38, buku tulis 58 dan Folio 100. jenis buku tulis 38, buku tulis 58 dan Folio 100. Peramalan yang dilakukan mengggunakan metode yaitu trend moment, dengan membandingkan tingkat kesalahan (error) terkecil, maka model persamaan peramalan menggunakan model Quadratic. Hasil peramalan penjualan dibilang berhasil, karena tingkat kesalahan atau eror tidak ada yang lebih dari 100%. Dan bias dibilang permalan yang paling akurat pada jenis buku tulis 58 memiliki nilai MAPE yang paling kecil dibandingkan dengan buku yang lain, hasil dari data peramalan mempunyai kesesuaian dengan data asli. ========================================================= ABSTRACT Nur Rohmah Salasatun, 2021, Analysis of Sales Forecasting at Win-Win Jaya Stationery Stores Using the Trend Moment Method. Thesis majoring in Information Systems, College of Informatics and Computer Management Widya Cipta Dharma, Supervisor (I) Bartolomius Harpad, S.Kom., M.Kom, Supervisor (II) Muhammad Fahmi, S.Kom., M.Kom. Keywords: Forecasting, Forecasting, Trend Moment. Forecasting is a method for estimating a future value using past data. This research was conducted at the Win-win Jaya Stationery Store. In this study, the author discusses the analysis of forecasting sales of stationery, especially notebooks 38, notebooks 58 and Folio 100. Types of notebooks 38, notebooks 58 and Folio 100. Forecasting is carried out using the trend moment method, by comparing the error rate ( error) is smallest, then the forecasting equation model uses the Quadratic model. The results of sales forecasting are said to be successful, because there is no error or error rate that is more than 100%. And it can be said that the most accurate forecasting on the type of notebook 58 has the smallest MAPE value compared to other books, the results of the forecasting data have conformity with the original data.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1 Sistem Informasi) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | Pembimbing 1 : Bartolomius Harpad, S.Kom., M.Kom Pembimbing 2 : Muhammad Fahmi, S.Kom., M.Kom |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Peramalan, Forecasting, Trend Moment. |
| Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA76 Computer software |
| Divisions: | Sistem Informasi |
| Depositing User: | Mrs Nur Rohmah Salasatun |
| Date Deposited: | 23 Aug 2021 02:37 |
| Last Modified: | 23 Aug 2021 02:37 |
| URI: | http://repository.wicida.ac.id/id/eprint/3905 |
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